Advantage Oil Gas Stock Performance
| AAV Stock | CAD 10.29 0.04 0.39% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Advantage Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Advantage Oil is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Advantage Oil Gas has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to confirm Advantage Oil's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Advantage Oil Gas performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Advantage Oil Gas has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 19.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -697.7 M |
Advantage |
Advantage Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,209 in Advantage Oil Gas on November 26, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (180.00) from holding Advantage Oil Gas or give up 14.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Advantage Oil Gas is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.9193% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 17% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Advantage Oil, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Advantage Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Advantage Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.29 | 90 days | 10.29 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advantage Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Advantage Oil Gas probability density function shows the probability of Advantage Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Advantage Oil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Advantage Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advantage Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Advantage Oil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advantage Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advantage Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advantage Oil Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advantage Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Advantage Oil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advantage Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advantage Oil Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advantage Oil Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Advantage Oil Gas has accumulated 698.03 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.08, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Advantage Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Advantage Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Advantage Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Advantage Oil Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Advantage to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Advantage Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Advantage Oil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advantage Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advantage Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advantage Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 166.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.1 M |
Advantage Oil Fundamentals Growth
Advantage Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Advantage Oil, and Advantage Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Advantage Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0356 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.031 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.67 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 166.94 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 3.37 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.18 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.83 X | ||||
| Revenue | 550.1 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 283.19 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 20.15 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.30 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 698.03 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.08 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.07 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 217.53 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.35 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.95 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (561.26 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 52.86 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 23.05 M | ||||
About Advantage Oil Performance
By examining Advantage Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Advantage Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Advantage Oil is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Advantage Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, exploits, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Province of Alberta, Canada. Advantage Energy Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. ADVANTAGE OIL operates under Oil Gas EP classification in Canada and is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange. It employs 42 people.Things to note about Advantage Oil Gas performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Advantage Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Advantage Oil Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advantage Oil Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Advantage Oil Gas has accumulated 698.03 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.08, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Advantage Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Advantage Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Advantage Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Advantage Oil Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Advantage to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Advantage Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
- Analyzing Advantage Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Advantage Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Advantage Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Advantage Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Advantage Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Advantage Oil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Advantage Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Advantage Stock
Advantage Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Advantage Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Advantage with respect to the benefits of owning Advantage Oil security.